Archive for the 'Polls' Category

Brown gives Tories 15 point lead

Gordon Brown’s task, if when he becomes Labour leader, appears to be increasing by the day. In today’s ICM poll for the Guardian, voters give the Conservatives have a 10 point lead over Labour (41% to 31%) when ask who they would vote for in an election tomorrow. This is up one point from last […]

Update

I spent yesterday in Brussels at the Movement for European Reforms inaugural conference (more to come later).
This meant that I managed to miss a couple of big news stories.
The first was that the Tories received another poll boost, receiving an 8% lead over Labour in the Populus poll in the Times. You can read the […]

Blair not worried by polls

So, The President, sorry, The Prime Miniser isn’t worried about the recent polls that have given the Conservative Party a lead in excess of 10 points over Labour. He says that he remembers the 80s when this was happening to Maggie. (see story on BBC website)
Now, being a cynical sole, I can understand why he […]

Conservatives given 2nd big poll lead

Communicate Reasearch have given the Conservative Party their sencond big lead in the polls in the last week. In their poll for the Independent,  Communicate Research put the Conservatives on 40%, Labour on 29% and the Lib Dems on 17%. The Conservatives are up 6 points from last months poll which had them on 34%, […]

The poll all Conservatives have been waiting for

The ICM poll published in todays Guardian newspaper gives the Conservative Party their highest poll rating since July 1992, just after John Major had been elected Prime Minister.
When asked which party they would back in a contest between Cameron, Brown and Mig, voters give the Tories a massive 13-point lead. The Conservatives on 42% (up […]

40%

Today’s Guardian/ICM poll has put the Conservative Party in their strongest position for 14 years. They are up 3% to 40%, with Labour unchanged on 32% and the Lib Dems down 4% to 18%.
You can read more here
Political Betting suggests that DC is nearing the place he needs to be to gain a majority at […]

Polling Warnings

You can find out why today’s poll giving Labour a two-point lead shouldn’t be trusted here, at PoliticalBetting.com, and here, at UKPollingReport.co.uk
Today’s poll in The Independent is a wake up call to the Conservatives. ConservativeHome has good analysis of it here.

Polling

Could someone please explain polling to me, I really cannot get my head round it.
How can The Conservatives be 10 points up on Labour/Gordon Brown in one poll, and yet 1 point down in another?
Does it really matter who has published the poll, ICM, MORI, etc?
Here is a novel idea, why don’t we just have […]